Being a Liverpool fan, I say we shot ourselves in the foot for not bagging the 4 points in the recent matches against the hamsters ( Birmingham and Fulham) having drew in both matches. Otherwise, we would in driving seat by now, having 2 points clear above Spurs, albeit with a game in hand. As a matter of fact, we have lost too many points throughout the whole season, that honestly speaking, to clinch a 4th spot, not only is an impossible task, it’s also not what we deserved.
Nevertheless, putting on the analytical hat, here’s my analysis of what could happen, ideal and yet realistic.
Spurs has 3 games remaining, against Bolton (Home) , City (Away) and finally Burnley (Away)
Manchester City has 3 games remaining too, against Aston Villa (Home), Spurs (Home), and finally West Ham (Away)
Aston Villa has 2 games remaining, just like us, and they will be playing against City (Away) and Blackburn (Home)
We have to play Chelsea at home, and wrapping the season by playing against Hull away.
With soccer, anything is possible, but if we consider just a pragmatic idea situation as follow
- Spurs draw with Bolton and Man City, beat Burnley. Gains5 points as a result, aggregating a final total of 69 points.
- City draw with Villa and Spurs, beat West Ham. Gains 5 points in total, aggregating a final total of 68 points.
- Villa draw with City, and draw Blackburn. Gain 4 points in total, aggregating a final total of 68 points.
- We win the rest of our 2 matches, against Chelsea and Hull, and we have a final aggregated points of 68.
So you see, Spurs is the likely winner of the last Champions league spot. It’s hard to imagine Spurs dropping points against Burnley, but hopefully they do against Bolton. If they win this coming weekend match against Bolton, then its a lost cause for us.
For us to win against Chelsea, it’s also an unimaginable task, although considering that we have won the double against them in previous season.
So cross our fingers and toes, and may the best team gets the coveted spot.